2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Spencer Miles
Spencer Miles RHP TOR
18 matchups scored · 2 game days
3 HRs Allowed
16.7% HR Rate (Pool)
9.3% Overall HR/FB
3.33 FIP
3.3 xFIP
+0.02 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.5
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
9.3%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
21th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
66.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.33
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
27th pctile
3.3
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
+0.02
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
53th pctile
16.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
18
Pool Matchups
3
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
16.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 98.9mph 108.0mph 35.0° 424ft Down -5.6pp
Last 15 9 1 1 11.1% 1.0 98.9mph 108.0mph 35.0° 424ft Down -5.6pp
Last 30 18 2 3 16.7% 1.5 99.1mph 108.7mph 31.3° 422ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
15 tracked BBE from 18 pool matchups
99.1
114.5
10
0
108.7
31.3°
422
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-05-31 Samuel Basallo 110.1mph · · · ·
2026-05-31 Colton Cowser 108.0mph 108.0mph 35° 424ft Yes
2026-05-31 Gunnar Henderson 105.0mph · · · ·
2026-05-31 Adley Rutschman 102.6mph · · · ·
2026-05-31 Blaze Alexander 101.2mph · · · ·
2026-05-10 Jo Adell 114.5mph 114.5mph 25° 449ft Yes
2026-05-10 Mike Trout 108.2mph · · · ·
2026-05-10 Oswald Peraza 103.5mph 103.5mph 34° 392ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
2 days · 3 total HRs
HRs Allowed
3 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-05-31 Colton Cowser #144 42 Camden Yards 108.0mph 35.0° 424ft
2026-05-10 Oswald Peraza #125 28 Rogers Centre 103.5mph 34.0° 392.0ft
2026-05-10 Jo Adell #135 26 Rogers Centre 114.5mph 25.0° 449.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sinker 255 37.2% -2.8 81.0 10.0° 2
Curveball 171 25.0% -1.5 83.3 11.0° 2
Slider 133 19.4% +0.3 79.2 15.1° 0
Fastball 124 18.1% -1.1 81.1 29.0° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
66.7%
66.7%
All Scored Matchups
18 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-05-31 Leody Taveras #239 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-31 Taylor Ward #218 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Blaze Alexander #178 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Colton Cowser #144 42 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-31 Jackson Holliday #119 47 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Adley Rutschman #98 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Samuel Basallo #65 56 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Pete Alonso #64 57 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-31 Gunnar Henderson #61 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Logan O'Hoppe #153 23 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Jo Adell #135 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-10 Oswald Peraza #125 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-10 Nolan Schanuel #118 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Yoán Moncada #85 34 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Jorge Soler #84 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-10 Zach Neto #83 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-10 Josh Lowe #79 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-10 Mike Trout #38 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·

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